Late April is really your dog days of sports betting. Football season has been over – sorry XFL – and it doesn’t start back up for months. March Madness has become a fading memory and the NBA playoffs have started but they are only playing like a game a week. So, what’s a sports bettor to do in this sparse time? Luckily, there is a good betting event that arises the last weekend of April that real bettors know and love to wager on.
The 2022 NFL Draft took place between, April 28 and Sunday, April 30, 2023. Some people probably don’t think about the draft as a big-time gambling event, ทีเด็ดมวย but it’s grown as a betting opportunity in recent years. With the rise of online gambling of all kinds, from online casinos to sportsbooks, events such as the NFL Draft have gone from hardcore football nerd fare to gambler’s dream weekend. Here’s all you need to learn in regards to the ins and outs of betting on the NFL Draft.
No Drama in the #1 Pick
A long time there’s an argument at the top of the draft board over who goes number 1 overall and that is always an enjoyable spot to bet. The years when there is two viable top of the draft choices are always the best whether it’s Peyton Manning vs Ryan Leaf or even a more recent example like Jared Goff vs Carson Wentz.
In 2020, you will see no such drama unless something truly crazy and unexpected happens. LSU quarterback Joe Burrow may be the odds-on favorite to be the amount 1 overall pick whether it’s by the Cincinnati Bengals or someone else who trades up for it. Burrow’s odds are at -2200 to function as the pick and another closest player is Chase Young, the Ohio State defensive end at +1200. The moral of the story here’s to stay away from betting on top pick this year.
Betting on Picks 2 -5
In 2010, the smart money and the action so far as betting on where people will go will soon be on picks 2 through 5. The Redskins at pick number 2 certainly are a little an exception but picks 3 through 5 without a doubt will soon be fun to wager on.
At pick 2, conventional wisdom says that they will choose Young but once you learn anything in regards to the Redskins, they are anything but predictable. Following a NFL Draft combine, there has been whispers that the Skins might take injured Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa with the next pick. While this still seems unlikely, there may be a trade up for the banged-up signal-caller so betting on Tagovailoa at 2 may make you some money.
For 3 to 5, this will almost certainly be some mix of Tagovailoa, Clemson’s Isaiah Simmons, and Ohio State’s Jeff Okudah. Working out which order these 3 players will leave the green room in should win you a great chunk of change to truly get your 2020 Draft betting off to a great start. You can bet on these results in the form of over/ under draft position or via the cash line if you were to think you can hit it exactly.
The Third Quarterback Off the Board
As discussed above, Burrow and Tagovailoa are more or less mortal locks to be the initial 2 quarterbacks on stage in April. Where in fact the first-round quarterback situation starts to get interesting is with the question, who will be the third QB to hear their name called? This debate is so heated right now that ESPN’s two draft experts, Mel Kiper, Jr. and Todd McShay actually made a $5,000 bet (for charity) with this question with their very own money.
Kiper, the initial NFL draft expert still going strong, loves Oregon quarterback Justin Herbert and his size and arm strength. McShay, on one other hand, is more of a fan of Utah State’s Jordan love and his smooth athleticism. You don’t have to plunk down 5K but letting a little money ride with whichever ESPN draftnik you want best is a lot of fun.
Positional Over/ Unders
Another smart way to bet on the draft is always to take the over/ under on a positional group in the initial round. This will likely keep your bet alive all the way until late in the round and if you put together or follow a great mock draft, it may make you good quality money.
As with many odds, the oddsmakers in Las Vegas are very good at assembling lines and over/ unders. Those huge, lavish casinos in the desert didn’t build themselves. Nevertheless, there’s some value if you’re able to identify the most or least in-demand position groups prior to the draft. In 2019, it absolutely was a really defensive heavy year with lots of talent coming from that side of the ball. As a result of this, OL, TE, WR, and QB all went under and RBs pushed at 1.
In 2020, the alternative is true and there is of offensive talent that teams covet available early in the draft. There ought to be 4 quarterbacks taken in the very best 15 picks and it could be no real surprise if a 5th or perhaps a 6th came off the board at the end of the 1st. There must also be a significant run on offensive lineman in round 1.
The big winners of the initial round though will soon be wide receivers. In 2010 is a historic wide receiver class and they may see 5 or 6 of these fellow pass catchers all allow it to be into the first. If you find a range that has OL, QB, or WR at 5 or under, take it without a doubt you will probably be safe taking up to 6 on these three positions.
Don’t let the NFL offseason enable you to get down as a gambler. There are many of great futures to bet on and, obviously, the NFL Draft. Betting on the draft is a good way spend a weekend and one last tip, be sure you put a coin flip wager on whether the last pick, Mr. Irrelevant, will soon be an offensive or defensive player. That may stop you invested to the bitter end.